Why the DRC poll results are inaccurate

Filed under: International News,Special Comments |

Félix Tshisekedi, leader of the Congolese main opposition party, the Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS), who was announced as the winner of the presidential elections, gestures to his supporters in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, on Jan. 10, 2019. – Courtesy of Reuters

By Justin Mupundu

According to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)’s Independent Electoral Commission (CIEN)’s official election results, Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDSP)’s Felix Tshisekedi, 55, scooped the presidency with 7 million votes or 38.6 percent of the vote after beating his closest rival, Dynamic of Congolese Political Opposition (DO)’s Martin Fayulu, who polled 6. 4 million votes or 34.8 percent of the vote and ex-President Joseph Kabila’s backed candidate, Emmanuel Ramzani Shadary got 4.3 million votes or 23.8 percent of the vote.

The voter turnout was 18, 329,318 million or 48 percent of the 38,542,138 million registered voters.
DRC’s 500-Member National Assembly is elected by two methods: 60 are elected from a single member constituency via a first-past-the-post system, and remaining 440 are elected from 109 multi-member Constituencies by open list proportional representation system.

Kabila’s Common Front for Congo alliance, which comprises the former ruling People’s Party for Reconstruction and Democracy (PPRD), AFDC, AAB and others secured the majority 337 seats out of the 500 -Member National Assembly against Tshisekedi‘s Direction for Change Coalition, which comprises UDSP and Union for the Congolese Nation (UNC), managed the minority 46 seats and Fayulu’s Lamuka Coalition comprising DO, Movement for the Liberation of the Congo (MLC), Together for Change (EPC),Unified Lumumbist Party and allies (PALU-A), Our Congo (CNB) and Social Movement for Renewal (MSR) got 94 seats.

But Fayulu has disputed the election results claiming that he won the polls with over 60 percent of the vote. He also alleges that Kabila staged an ‘electoral coup’ and handed over the presidency to Tshisekedi.

Fayulu’s claims is backed by Catholic Bishops’ results collected by over 40,000 monitors that were deployed across the country and the Financial Times analysis that gave Fayulu 59 percent of the vote. Belgium, which colonized that country until it got its independence in 1960, France and the international election observers have also disputed the election results.

Fayulu petitioned the election results, which the Constitutional Court (ConCourt) has since ruled in favour of Tshisekedi.But the ConCourt erred in law and fact, although it confirmed the election of Tshisekedi.

However, the Verify Independently Election Results (VIER) analysis, which was independently conducted by Media Election Monitoring Project to verify the accuracy of CIEN’s official election results,
(MEMP), reveals that the results are inaccurate: The number of legislative seats does not represent and reflect the presidential voting pattern.

A voter votes in a ‘uniform style’: Votes for the presidential candidate together with the Member of Parliament (MP), Mayor/Council Chairperson and Councilor.

So, parliamentary, Mayoral/Council Chairperson and Council Ward election results represent and reflect the presidential voting pattern: A presidential candidate who scoops the presidency should also garner the majority parliamentary, Mayoral /Council Chairperson and Council Ward seats.

But if the official poll results do not reflect the said facts, as is the case in the DRC, then the official results is inaccurate, and does not reflect the vote and represent the will of the people.

The author is media consultant and political analyst


One Response to Why the DRC poll results are inaccurate

  1. It is better not to talk about it since the highiest court has approved it.
    There is nothing going to happen just wait for another election. In the world things are not as good as you think they should be, to avoid any confusion better to leave the topic it won’t bring anything good the church is not the law, church should talk peace not confusion.
    Let there peace in Congo.

    February 18, 2019 at 12:52 am

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