Opinion poll: Close contest as HH leads Lungu

Filed under: Breaking News,Politics |

A quick opinion poll carried out on Zambian Eye’s Facebook group page has revealed a close contest between the two front-runners in the January 20 presidential election, with Opposition United Party for National Development candidate Hakainde Hichilema leading his rival Edgar Lungu of the ruling Patriotic Front by a margin of seven percentage points.

This is in contrast with the other polls conducted by Zambian Eye, which have indicated a much wider margin in favour of the UPND leader, averaging over 40 percentage points.

Of the 171 members who took part in the poll, Hichilema accounted for 49.7% while runner-up Lungu got 42.1%. Elias Chipimo of NAREP was a distant third with 2.3% while fourth and fifth position belonged to Tilyenji Kaunda of UNIP and Godfrey Miyanda of the Heritage party wth 1.8% and 1.1% respectively. The rest of the candidates got 0.6% each.

Zambian Eye’s Facebook group has a membership of over 21,676 people of diverse political inclinations.


37 Responses to Opinion poll: Close contest as HH leads Lungu

  1. Well done HH

    January 12, 2015 at 11:17 am

    • Madam Maureen Mwanawasa said that;HH would have been President already,but because of his Tonga Tribe.I don’t agree with this;HH would not be president because he lacks Wisdom.Just look at the way he’s handling him being a SATANIST ISSUE.Going to court is a waste of time.Courts don’t rule on spiritual matters.A court can even aquit an adulterer due to lack of physical eveidence;but consciously the person involved would know that he/she did it.

      Sir Nyambe
      January 13, 2015 at 6:57 am

      • @I agree with you Sir Nyambe.Look at the way he has failed to deal with the statement made by the Tongas that:”UPND will never be led by a non-Tonga”,hence the hounding-out of Saki.Todate,this issue is alive as though it was said yesterday.

        January 13, 2015 at 7:05 am

      • Did’nt Sata take someone to court over some silly issue? In fact he came out of his sick bed to attend court. The case was pending up the time he kicked the bucket. So why should’nt HH take this silly opportunistic Bishop to court hey??

        January 13, 2015 at 7:23 am

        • @PM-The UPND specis.I said,taking spiritual matters or cases to Court is a non-starter.Sata’s issue,was not a spiritual case.

          Sir Nyambe
          January 13, 2015 at 9:05 am

          • He did not take a spiritual issue. He sued for defamation. The context in which the statement was issued.Wait and see.

            January 13, 2015 at 9:48 am

      • @Sir Nyambe, is that what you understand about the court case? It is not to determine whether or not HH is a Satanist but rather, he is suing for defamation of character. Let this sink into your head as the courts have jurisdiction to punish those who aim at bringing other people’s names into disrepute so long they cannot substantiate their claims.

        January 13, 2015 at 8:35 am

        • @Bob-If HH is a Satanist and Bishop Chomba told the Zambians that he is,that is not character assassination.That is the truth,that is what HH is.Freemasonary is a Secret Society,where evil rituals are performed.This Society is usually for the elite,for their motive is mostly to get rich at all costs,even through the shedding of blood-hence the Satanic tag given to them.So satanic activities are dificult to prove,but they do happen because they’re spiritual in nature the way the rituals are conducted.

          Sir Nyambe
          January 13, 2015 at 9:17 am

          • Exactly, that is what Bishop need to proove in court. You have passed a Judgement brother. Let the court pass a judgement. Why is the bishop disputing the times story? Because he now knows he is on hot pan. Very soon he will be knealing down to apologise

            January 13, 2015 at 9:51 am

          • You`re very ignorant. You don`t even seem to understand what you`re writing about.

            January 13, 2015 at 3:47 pm

        • @Bob-How is your HH defamed?Is it not because he has been called a satanist?Now can the Court find evidence to clear your HH that he is not a Satanist.The damage is already done.Your HH has lost a considerable number of votes from serious christians.Maybe only Hakombwa the SDA Union President will give him a vote and the tribally inclined Tonga Christians.You may argue your lungs out,but the damage is seriously done against your Freemason HH-the love for riches Seecret Society Cult.

          Sir Nyambe
          January 13, 2015 at 1:13 pm

          • Wow!You really sound very worried person. Do you`ve a business contract with PF Government?

            January 13, 2015 at 3:51 pm

  2. Bane ingatamukwete ifyakulemba ikaleni fye.The 171 tonga tribes men had nothing to do after they drunk chibwantu.Remember that Edgar is winning whelther you like it or not.Kindly produce statistics on the voting pattern
    See details below
    PR NO V %
    CP 483 9.36
    CB 845 16.37
    EP 600 11.63
    LP 408 7.91
    LP 796 15.42
    MC 269 5.21
    NP 434 8.41
    NW 315 6.10
    SP 617 11.96
    WP 394 7.63
    Going by this pattern Edgar commands 70% of the voters in Zambia.E.G if Eastern province voted alone against HH,HH will lead by 17 votes.If Northern and Muchinga voted in favour of Edgar and Western and Northen western voted for HH will lead by 6 votes.Going by this simple statistics the remaining provinces offcourse you know who is popular. Edgar is winning come what may

    January 12, 2015 at 11:35 am

    • Dreamer! CBP, NP, LP and MP will be shared very well between HH, EL, Edith and Nevers (HH has made tremendous progress in these areas with the help of local political heavy weights). Eastern Province will also be shared well between HH and EL as many MMD MPs are campaigning for HH, though EL may have an edge over HH (Farmers are not paid and easterners don’t joke with farming). LSKP and Central- HH will still have an edge over EL (The educated people who understand the failures of the PF well including the constitution issue). SP, NWP and WP is an obvious landslide victory for HH.

      January 12, 2015 at 12:06 pm

    • Your assumption is that EL will receive votes from all those numbers right? That is warped thinking. He may get the most, but not 100% as you suggest

      January 13, 2015 at 8:37 am

    • I am in Luapula among those numbers, I know five of us from our offices who will vote for HH. And besides brother, just know that all those provinces have frustrated nurses and civil servants in general.Watch the space. There is a saying going around in the civil service. Saying only a fool civil servant will vote for——. Have your ears on the ground but you dream what was dreamt by Mwebantu

      January 13, 2015 at 9:57 am

  3. These are not opinion polls but propaganda polls. Opinion polls dont differ by such a huge margin as those found on Zambian eye. Just goes to show you the editors dont know what you mean by an opinion poll. You dont even know what fomrulas are employed in an opinion poll for it to claim a prediction. Here you are just trying to influence people into voting for someone BECAUSE EVERYBODY ELSE WILL VOTE FOR HIM.

    Mob Psychologist
    January 12, 2015 at 1:14 pm

    • Opinion polls can differ by huge margins depending on which population you are subjecting the poll to. If you use sex workers, they may off course find EL more appealing (95% for EL) because of his connection to alcohol (hence there resolve to offer free sex come 20th if EL wins). If you go to UNZA or use UNZA radio, HH will amass 95% because students analyse issues rationally (At least in the olden days before there was buying of students). The best poll would be that done on a platform representing a politically diverse population.

      January 12, 2015 at 2:31 pm

      • No such thing unless you haven’t been to school. Pollsters select their samples to reflect the electorate. By the way real pollsters give their margin of error. These are mickey mouse polls

        Fwebaile ku sukulu
        January 13, 2015 at 9:57 pm

  4. HH_ Hakalusa Hagain

    joe mulenga
    January 12, 2015 at 1:16 pm

    • HH = Hakawina Hapa

      January 12, 2015 at 3:30 pm

  5. PF cadres with due respect.Please restrain your cadres from violence.Let us just agree to disagree.
    Here are real issues which will make PF stumble

    1.Wage Freeze for Civil Servants
    2.Fires Nurses and failure to reinstate them unconditionally
    3.Unpaid Farmers countrywide
    4.Violence by pf cadres
    5.Lack of progress in the Constitutional making process
    6.Non recognition of the Mwata Kazembe
    7.Endorsement of EL (most corrupt president,rejected by the people) by RB.
    8.High cost of living
    10.Unfulfilled campaign promises -Don’t Kubeba

    Judgement day
    January 12, 2015 at 3:01 pm

  6. Come what may,PF is exiting jst after three yrs of being in office. The same manner they laughed Rupia as for having served the shortest period,tho worst in terms of coruption so it shall be with them

    The MP
    January 12, 2015 at 4:58 pm

  7. Excellent HH….20th January twakanda bamambala

    @Frans no one wants tribal blogging and you have lloked a fool with zero senses. People are showing PF signs of departure so just prepare and do not get a heart attack

    VIVA HH……

    Breaking News

    PF cadres were chased in Chief Nyanphandes area by people attending a rally

    The Promised Constitution
    January 13, 2015 at 7:42 am

  8. A UPND organised rally

    The Promised Constitution
    January 13, 2015 at 7:43 am

    • Where is Chief Nyanphande?

      January 13, 2015 at 10:15 pm

      • in Petauke, EP.-

        January 14, 2015 at 12:51 pm

  9. VIVA HH

    kumawa info
    January 13, 2015 at 8:38 am

  10. Look Zambians PF was created as a weapon of war against president levy mwanawasa and mmd,,,,so pf as a weapon was made up of those who new witches and crooks and so the crooks and witches joined in…then we gave them power, they didn’t like democracy as expected and that was the failing point….well managed parties have failed to standup after losing elections. well, I don’t see pf standing up after the coming election….

    January 13, 2015 at 8:55 am

  11. is eery Zambian on Zambian eye pipo from rural n thoz in shunty?.Stop dream Lungu is winning n U will be stunned.

    January 13, 2015 at 9:19 am

  12. Who is this bishop to point at someone and say that he is a Satanist, are men of God tasked with labeling people as Satanist, there job is to preach the good news if HH is a Satanist the bishop shop take salvation to him. Issues now that HH has given the constitution making road up PF is saying it was stolen from them, for 3 years the public have been asking for this road map and it was not forth coming ,

    January 13, 2015 at 10:19 am

  13. We have not heard anything about the opinion polls which was on Mwebantu Media’s FaceBook page-what happened to the results?

    January 13, 2015 at 11:47 am


    January 13, 2015 at 12:03 pm


    January 13, 2015 at 12:19 pm

  16. Hh has never lost an opinion poll, but has never won an election outside upnd does that ring a bell??

    January 13, 2015 at 7:14 pm

    • The ZE even says a quick opinion poll as if there is a slow opinion poll. Desperate to give out propaganda!

      Fwebaile ku sukulu
      January 13, 2015 at 10:02 pm

  17. Can some one remind me of Good deed of the President SATA and PF. I have looked hard and cannot find any.
    All I see is violence, high cost of living, political leaders going to courts, bye elections, dirt streets and so on.

    Jameson Kaliza
    January 14, 2015 at 8:15 am

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