HH projected to win Zambia elections

Filed under: Breaking News,Politics |
HH waves at the crowd

HH waves at the crowd


An in depth projection done by some University of  Zambia Dons have put Hakainde Hichilema of the opposition UPND ahead to win the Thursday elections.

The projections based on the voting patterns in Zambia and the current number of registered Voters.

Below is the projection showing three senarios :



36 Responses to HH projected to win Zambia elections

  1. PF is losings even here in Chawama and he must go else where not coming to chawama again he is a sahame to the people of chawama.

    August 6, 2016 at 9:43 am

    • In 2015 HH won opinion polls by 80% , EL got an embarrassing 16%.

      Now HH has won 2016 opinin polls by just 54% and this time around EL has lost with dignity by getting 45%.

      If the trend continues like this, I see EL winning the 2017 opinion polls.
      HH must work extra hard,or else he will lose 2017 opinion polls.

      August 6, 2016 at 11:09 am

  2. Kanyama too is for upnd,we have just gone watermelon.

    think twice
    August 6, 2016 at 9:55 am

  3. Here we go again projections ! We’ve been there before. This kind of hallucinations has always end up in tears.
    Calm down and prepare for another miserable outcome.

    August 6, 2016 at 10:00 am

  4. My projection UPND 63%
    PF 43%
    FDD 4%
    Rainbow 2%
    Green 1%

    August 6, 2016 at 10:13 am

    • HAHAHA!!! That is 110%.

      Chuck Norris
      August 6, 2016 at 10:22 am

      • Hahaha do your sums well as well!!! Its 113% total

        August 6, 2016 at 7:22 pm

    • Maliongo,that is 113%. Please do your calculations very well. And it will be a miracle for UPND to garner such results. Believe me, because of the closeness of these elections, the following will be the results:

      PF 52.5%
      UPND 39%
      FDD 05%
      Green Party 02%
      UNIP 01%
      Others 0.5%

      Dikky K P
      August 8, 2016 at 7:53 am

  5. That’s mathematics from planet Mars and it’s accurate the way it is. Since FDD is of they get the from PF. Rainbow and Green Party take away 5% from the UPND. So effectively UPND wins with 58%

    August 6, 2016 at 10:19 am

  6. If all rigging loopholes are sealed the UPND is definitely poised for undisputed victory. It’s without a doubt that pf has significantly lost out on support, everywhere, and they know it, no wonder their resort to violence by commissioned cadres and intimidating threats on HH by ECL, and it has surprised ECL so much seeing how strong and popular HH is becoming by day just out of his (ecl) foul mouth.
    It’s game on! Some cadre chancing the presidency out of somebody’s death will soon cry.

    Memphis Shew
    August 6, 2016 at 10:23 am

    • Memphis Shew – If there is no rigging, ECL wins.

      August 6, 2016 at 5:36 pm


    ZULU C
    August 6, 2016 at 10:24 am

  8. 4 day to go! And pfnbc their are bizy campaign for their boss.

    August 6, 2016 at 10:39 am

  9. Oh yes in S/House.

    robert sulamoyo jr
    August 6, 2016 at 10:57 am

  10. If UPND can capture, Southern by 90% Western 60% NW 75% , they will win as in the rest of the provinces its sharing. PF has no strong hold to talk about as most rallies in Lusaka and Copper belt people are transported to the cities by pf while upnd people are always there

    Katuba old Boys
    August 6, 2016 at 11:13 am


    August 6, 2016 at 11:51 am

  12. ECL has been told by intelligence that he is losing these elections unless if he takes some drastic actions. To stop HH from winning outright and in the first round he has decided to rig these elections in his favour. Given that Zambians are aware of Lungu’s rigging manoeuvres its not going to be plain selling for Lungu. The majority of Zambians across the country have decided to vote for change Lungu cant rig our minds. Forward with HH & UPND and Zambia.

    August 6, 2016 at 12:42 pm

    • Zulu, who are the “majority of Zambians” you are referring to? To get correct information and assessment, please talk to supporters of both the party you support and the other parties in the race. otherwise you will be day dreaming

      jason Nyirenda
      August 6, 2016 at 2:04 pm

  13. Ba Zambian Eye by now you should have grown up and should have stopped publishing such stoopid propaganda. If HH wins let him just win not because you hoodwinked people into thinking he will win.
    You have done it for the past five elections telling us HH is winning by your own skewed simplistic childish polls as well as by questionable political pundits that only you can trust. Dont you ever get embarrassed?
    Here you go again publishing “HH will win” predictions, done from some acadaymixer analysing voting patterns from how many people turned up at someone’s rally.
    Leave propaganda to Fred Mmembe. Practice journalism.

    Journalism or Propagandism?
    August 6, 2016 at 12:52 pm

  14. Opinion of Zambian voters is
    Edith nawakwi 7%
    Peter sinkamba 2%
    T Kaunda 0.5%
    Hakaviotela humwine 39%
    Chagwa Lungu 51%

    August 6, 2016 at 12:53 pm

  15. @Aisha stop that Liz …live HH 39% yanyoko

    August 6, 2016 at 1:35 pm

  16. Act it again perpetual loser.wanyo you are losing again,to tell you the truth this man is not loved by many Zambians.

    petrol malambo
    August 6, 2016 at 4:10 pm

    • @Petro Malambo forget the 2015 election which you rigged.Its not like PF convection in Kambwe.Its the whole zambia boss.We zambians we dont want Lungu and shall vote in mass for HH and GBM throught Zambia.Its no longer a Tonga afair we safe with HH.

      August 7, 2016 at 11:51 am

  17. The obsession that PF has lost voters in all the scenarios while UPND has gained is quite remarkable. In fact a fairer scenario I have seen from UPND poll stars which is based on the 2015 voting pattern shows President Lungu wining by more than 54%. Why don’t you want to use the UPND version that has actually caused UPND president to concentrate on Lusaka & Southern Province because there is no where else to get the votes to win it for him. Be courageous & do investigations for yourself. No matter how UPND do the number crunching their candidate’s best is 43% unless they pull a miracle in Lusaka & maintain @ least 90% attendance in SP.

    The Chosen One
    August 6, 2016 at 6:44 pm

  18. HH will win but lungu is assured of 56%

    August 6, 2016 at 7:06 pm

  19. There a lot dumb bloggers here. Extreme low minded thinkers. The fact of the article is that UPND has gained. The numbers do lie while PF has not evident even by the resent of a lot. Here it more about PF maintaining rather than growth and fact is a lot of PF support was because of the late MCS. Without the late MCS, PF cannot maintain even worse you now has Wynter who took some PF members with him, then Miles, and Guy Scott and other Sata loyalists have all shifted. In 2015, EL had a lot of Sata’s people by him and now he has very few. Truth be told Lungu has no support base of his own and PF without the late MCS is extremely weak. The only way Lungu can win is through massive rigging and violence which my beloved people of Zambia will not allow. May the lord Jesus give us a HH and save us from doom.

    August 6, 2016 at 7:28 pm

  20. The so called in depth projection by University of Zambia dons is actually a gross misrepresentation of UNZA academic staffs’ position on the August 2011 elections. These projections are actually just some crazy and shallow contrivance by Mbinji Mufalo who is no longer an UNZA Don.

    The biggest flaw in these projections is their overreliance on 2015 by-election data. It would have made more sense if Mbinji Mufalo used 2011 figures. Use of 2015 data to model scenarios of what is likely to happen in 2016 is unrealistic for a number of reasons. For one thing, the 2015 data are derived from a by-election; this makes these data unrepresentative because by-elections are often characterized by apathy. In fact, this is borne out by the fact most provinces registered very low turnouts in the 2015 elections, with the exception of HH’s stronghold of Southern province.

    Mbinji Mufalo should also bear in mind the following reasons accounting the ECL’S narrow margin of victory over HH: Guy Scott’s determination to derail ECL’s campaign efforts; the serious fratricidal divisions in the PF; the fact that ECL was still virtually unknown by the electorate; and the fact that ECL was only left with three weeks to campaign while HH, with his party solidly united behind him, had been campaigning for several months.

    Now the picture is drastically different. There is massive infrastructural development in the country which most people appreciate; ECL is not only well known now but is definitely a more likeable and attractive personality than HH; his running mate, Madam Inonge Wina, is equally a far much more attractive running mate than HH’s GBM; the PF is now more united than ever before especially after the departure of Guy Scott, GBM, Kabimba, and Sampa; and the MMD and most of the independent candidates are campaigning for ECL. To cap it all, according to the final ECL register, 65 percent of all the registered voters are in the PF strongholds of Copperbelt, Eastern, Luapula, Lusaka, Muchinga, and Northern provinces, while HH’s strongholds of Northwestern, Southern, and Western provinces, account for only 25 percent of all registered voters.

    Did Mbinji take these factors into account when making these so-called in depth projections?

    August 6, 2016 at 7:37 pm

    • Maikalange you are right. You are a true unza done.

      August 6, 2016 at 8:26 pm

    • That is very dull response. Please go back and redo your degree. By your response we can tell you as dumb as Lungu himself who cannot articulate anything except violence and abusing public funds

      Wise Commentator
      August 7, 2016 at 5:17 am

  21. Iwe chi journalism and propaganda whatever amano tawakwata.grow up.u think zambians can stay on same thinking and not change if things go wrong.do yu think we shud stay at the same level? Pipo like u can live on rape only without eating meat or chicken one day because of ur backward thinking. Things change and Zambia cannot be at the same pace.think before u speak.

    August 6, 2016 at 9:02 pm

  22. It’s shame to hear such words because Lusaka, copperbelt,luapula was once stronghold of mmd,when data came it starting charging step by step,so this happen every time by the way how many people left pf?do those people had they cadres? If so how many followed them?now to ecl only criminal have followed him,think about this if kambwili live today of the end.people like Scot,sampa,GBM,Nevers mumba and many more,today upnd is found in copperbelt, luapula,northern, Lusaka,so think twice when comments.

    true worshipper
    August 7, 2016 at 12:13 pm

  23. if indeed these submissions where made by unza dons,it surely shows why zambia is still very poor as a nation.coz if its brains can put up such projections,its a sad state of affairs.upnd strongholds of southern,western and north western make up abt 1.8million voters on this new voter role representing roughly a 27%.unless you tell me they will win other provinces with big margines as well,but then which provinces are those?upnd cadres,be realistic,dnt be dreaming too much.anyway,we shall stock UTH with meds incase of high Bp cases after 11 August.Any normal person knows the results on 11 August.

    August 7, 2016 at 12:19 pm

  24. Sorry,But i think most UPND cadres are too dull and dumb.its like they have been brainwashed by this free mason and satanist boy called Kalusa.

    August 7, 2016 at 12:22 pm

  25. May be if Zambian fail to vote the way southern province votes.
    But I doubt if eastern province hasn’t learnt a lesson this time voting for Lungu .
    It is possible northern province would vote for their cousin and luapula may do the same ,one thing stands out Bemba people wouldn’t settle for vice presidency.
    Munching also is for pf, indicators are lung will win more votes this time compared to last year he has some stamina to do more.
    I don’t know if lozis will choose to lose their vice presidency ,and be nobodies failing to prop up Inonge.

    August 7, 2016 at 3:44 pm

  26. Its a shame that the report was done by a Don from UNZA . Do not over simplify matters . You can not in the name of academia, conduct a quick and very dirty job using excel spread sheets in 10 minutes and make a very big pronouncement on matters of national importance. To make matters worse Zambian eye even reproduce such nonsense. I wonder why I should reading Zambian eye going further.

    August 8, 2016 at 6:29 am

  27. 19 days to go till elections, 20 days till the results are know and 21 days till the first petition!

    Dick Burbidge
    August 29, 2016 at 2:19 am

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