2021 elections will be crucial; no single party shall win enough votes to form government! (Part 1)

Filed under: Politics,Special Comments |

After the controversial August 11, 2016 elections, ailing veteran politician Daniel Munkombwe observed that the voting pattern that characterized the just ended polls couldn’t be described as tribalism per se but simply a reflection of strongholds for the ruling Patriotic Front (PF) and main opposition United Party for National Development (UPND). We agree with him. Such voting trends aren’t unique to our motherland; it’s the same world over.

While PF claimed victory in their strongholds of North-eastern parts of the country and of course swept votes in urban areas of Lusaka, Central and Copperbelt provinces, UPND maintained its support base of North-western, Western and Southern provinces and went on to put up strong showing in the rural parts of urbanized provinces. It’s always important to appreciate the reasons why electorates tend to vote in a particular manner or better still the hat trick politicians are fond of using to hoodwink the unsuspecting voters. Some of the factors that immediately come to mind are as follows: tribal/racial inclination, political ideologies, oratorical skills of political leaders, religious propaganda etc. We intend to interrogate these issues further in part 2.

According to Wikipedia, “since the 2000 United States presidential election, red states and blue states have referred to states of the United States of America whose residents predominantly vote for either the Republican Party (red) or Democratic Party (blue) presidential candidates. Since then, the use of the term has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as liberal and those perceived as conservative.”

In addition to this, there are also a few states that are known as the purple states. Often referred to as battle ground states, these are swing states where candidates from either party receive strong support without an overwhelming majority of support for their respective parties.

Getting closer to home, let’s take a look at South Africa where they at least have something decent enough to qualify as democracy. According to a latest issue of Mail & Guardian, KwaZulu-Natal is governing ANC’s biggest provincial support base and was instrumental in electing and retaining Zuma as president in 2007 and 2012. Motivating factor? Well…..this was of course during a period when the gentleman from Zulu land, notorious for his dancing and singing prowess in public, whom many had previously dismissed as of little education, took to the podium and outwitted the much revered Thabo Mbeki to take over from him as President of Africa’s largest economy!

Of course President Zuma is not having it easy at Mahlamba Ndlopfu, the official residence for the President of the Republic of South Africa as he has to constantly stomach a barrage of scathing attacks from Democratic Alliance (DA) and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF). While the DA enjoys the support of English and Afrikaans speaking people and has firmly maintained the reins of power in the Western Cape where there’s a huge white population since 2009, Malema’s EFF also commands massive support in Limpopo province where the fiery leader hails from.

Let us not pretend; there will be three main contenders in the 2021 elections – Patriotic Front, United Party for National Development and a baby born with teeth, National Democratic Congress. Still on the issue of pretense, it is high time Hon. Chishimba Kambwili stopped playing this joke of political consultant to NDC and relinquished his position as Roan Member of Parliament and took over the mantle of leadership in his party.

In part 2, we shall endeavor to ponder how the future looks for the three aforementioned parties as regards 2021 elections?

Bill M. Kapinga

Freelance writer/social activist


4 Responses to 2021 elections will be crucial; no single party shall win enough votes to form government! (Part 1)

  1. These are hopeless Predictions meant to divert attention from the 2016 Presidential Election.That Petition shall be heard and will be heard in an Electoral Court.Lungu is illegally in Power after carrying out a Constitutional Coup detat.Lungu cannot be allowed to get away with this illegality.If the Petition is not heard and the irregularities and illegalities committed by ECZ,Concourt,ECL etc are not corrected then Lungu will rig the 2021 Election in the same way he rigged the 2016 Election.The Petition must be heard if Zambia is to avoid disputed Elections in Future.Lungu will stew in illegitimacy and illegality until the Petition is heard,determined and disposed off by an Electoral Court.Period.

    October 27, 2017 at 5:25 am

  2. Musa just tell UPND to embark on a vigorous campaign or else he will in position 3 in 2021.Kambwili has come hot on the political scene. Crying over spelt milk will not make him more popular.

    But I have come to like HH’s new attitude and language. Its the prison taught him to humble himself. Let him leave UPND join Kambwili as a running mate

    The Laughing Philosopher!
    October 28, 2017 at 5:50 pm

    • There is nowhere this new party is going. You will remember this very soon

      October 28, 2017 at 7:34 pm

  3. Dreaming is surely free, PF can only win elections through hook and crook as the case was in 2016.PF is a shell of a once night party.

    Mpombo Wampombo
    October 28, 2017 at 8:21 pm

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