Some DOs and DON’Ts for Geoffrey Mwamba

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Geoffrey Mwamba

Geoffrey Mwamba

Geoffrey Bwalya Mwamba popularly known as GBM has been making headlines in the press the last weeks after he resigned his position as Minister of Defence.

His resignation follows a challenge given to him by President Michael Sata to chose between his Ministerial job or Chanda Sosala, the designate Chitimukulu who the PF government has refused to recognize. The challenge came the following day after GBM visited the Senior Bemba Chief.

GBM chose Chanda Sosala who he says is his Grandfather. He said when announcing his resignation that politics cannot seperate him from his relatives. He also indicated that he will consult his people who voted for him as Member of Parliament for Kasama Central under PF on whether quit the position.

Following this development alot  is happening to try to persuade him to reconcile while at the same time alleged sponsored cadres, officials within the PF have been calling for his expulsion from the party while others say he must be probed though no charges so far have been publicy stated of what he did.

His business is under serious threat as some of the contracts he has with government are reported to have been canceled. What is more imminent now is a move to expel him from PF. GMB who bankrolled Michael Sata’s campaign had said unless he is forced out he will not resign from PF.

“I spent alot of money and time to put PF in government. I cannot cook nsima and leave it for others to eat, no,” said GBM a few days after his resignation.

The big question which even his supporters has, is what should GBM do?

A political follower Patrick Sikana answers this question in his article below:

Let me begin by saying that I will be brutally frank in my response. One important assumption underpins what I write below: I assume that one day GBM would like to serve the country in a greater capacity than MP or Minister – possibly as President. If this assumption is not valid, then you don’t need to read any further. But if this is a valid assumption, here are a few Dos and Don’ts i recommend for him:

File: Sata with GBM

File: When all was rose, Sata with GBM at the Airport

1. DON’T – He must not agree to any kind of “political” reconciliation with HEMCS (His Excellence Michael Chilufya Sata)
GBM has already bruised the cobra’s ego and any form of reconciliation will be used against him. Attempting to reconcile GBM alone with HEMCS without Bashilubemba will definitively spell his doom. Given what we know about the methods of HEMCS I don’t see how genuine tripartite reconciliation (GBM, HEMCS, Bashilubemba) is possible. Calls for reconciliation are just a smoke screen and sneaky way to bring him back near so they can finish him off properly. Remember the cobra will still be his boss in the party.

2. DO – He must resign from PF because of 3 reasons:
First, if he doesn’t resign, he will be expelled. In order not to lose the momentum he currently has, he must stay in control of his decisions; he must keep one step ahead. Expulsion will dent his political pride and will play as an effective weapon in the hands of his political enemies now and in future. Second, because as stated above, genuine political reconciliation is no longer possible, and pursuing it will be walking into a trap with both his eyes open and giving HEMCS the cutlery to conclude his political homicide on GBM. Third, it has become clear, HEMCS has other succession plans, of which GBM is not part. Going back to the assumption above – PF is not GBM’s route to plot 1.

3. DON’T – He must not form another political party
The last thing Zambia needs is another political party – with a regional character – real or perceived. If GBM forms a party today, it will draw most of its support from the Northern and Luapula provinces ( I’m not sure of Muchinga). This will deepen the simmering political divide between the south-west and the north-east (tribal) blocks. In addition, such a party will merely suck his resources dry and postpone indefinitely his dream for plot 1 because of being regional. Money is not enough to get to state house – we have both a living example (Kavindele) and a departed one (B Y Mwila).

4. DO – Join UPND for the greater good of the country
MMD is his vomit and, if you ask me, it’s headed to the same nether destination as UNIP. FDD is Nawakwi, NAREP is Chipimo and HP is Miyanda. I just peeped into my political kaleidoscope and I saw someone who looks like Chipimo somewhere in 2026. The rest of the political parties – it couldn’t pick. Zambian politics – like elsewhere in Africa – are notoriously tribal.

You ignore that fact at your own political peril. On the negotiation table there will be only one question: What do you have to offer? GBM’s answer will be: “I bring the greater north (where the greater north includes Luapula and possibly Muchinga and eastern) and my resources.” Trust me, if he plays his cards well, this can leverage him a VP position with minimum collateral damage to the status quo in UPND. HH’s answer will be similar: “I bring the greater south (where the greater south includes western and possibly central and north western) and my resources and MPs” . Copper belt and Lusaka will swing the vote. This will be good for GBM, HH and everyone else who is sick and tired of PF

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27 Responses to Some DOs and DON’Ts for Geoffrey Mwamba

  1. What GBM did was the wisest thing a man of his criteria would take, choosing a chief has to do with traditional subjects not Government and for that matter the government has to respect that, GBM did not only take that actions for the sake of relational bounds but aswell as for the respect of traditional country customs, he chose the chief thus they should leave him alone that’s his choice..viva GBM!

    Hendrix Chikonka
    January 4, 2014 at 10:38 pm
    Reply

  2. Joining UPND should have been left out of this conversation or article. UNIP became what it is today because they removed an elected President in Kebby Musokotwane. it’s wrong to assume MMD will turn out the same. MMD is the only party not attached to an individual. The rest including PF are personal to holder. if joining another party is an advice 2 give GBM, MMD IS BETTER!

    D
    January 5, 2014 at 4:39 am
    Reply

  3. Well an opinion is left for one to ponder.the writer recommended GBM to join UPND,ohhh yes!it is the ONLY party with a vehicle,a 4×4 to pull out this country of its economic,social,health,educational,agriculture e.t.c shambles.the PF vehicle has no wheels but well vanished to persuade a person to board in.Brothers MMD is deeply deflated,all the wheels are punctured..the rest are Nashala neka parties..

    Aipepeta
    January 5, 2014 at 5:04 am
    Reply

    • Why is it that UPND does not seem to groom it’s own cadres to become household names in political circles.But UPND is always canibalizing/getting on other party’s work in the name of freedom of choice as a democtratic right.

      Sir Nyambe
      January 5, 2014 at 4:42 pm
      Reply

  4. I think he should go back to MMD.

    KC
    January 5, 2014 at 6:12 am
    Reply

  5. DOES MMD stand a chance to come back? When people compare the behaviour of MMD in its last 25 months to the behaviour of PF in its first 25 months, they could prefer to vote for MMD. Dr Michael Kaingu appears to be repositioning MMD very well strategically. It is not a given that what happened to UNIP will happen to MMD. MMD still wins by-elections. UNIP does not. UPND should take this advice and use it to plan.

    surprised!!!
    January 5, 2014 at 6:57 am
    Reply

  6. Fr,Frank,Lubinda and GBM in UPND,wapya munzi.

    moojo
    January 5, 2014 at 7:23 am
    Reply

  7. UPND is the most viable vehicle for any genuine person as things stand.

    Mutukashi
    January 5, 2014 at 9:08 am
    Reply

  8. I agree with the author of the article. The advice is sound for GBM and seems the correct approach if he wants to make a dent in PF’s fortunes. He would certainly bring massive votes from Northern, Muchinga and Luapula. MMD maybe a formidable alternative but peoples memories are still fresh. They are not likely to forget so easily the wanton plunder and arrogance of this party. Zambians would rather experiment with another party. I think UPND stands a better chance if they could capitalise on the deteriorating PF to propel themselves forward. They could make it to plot 1.

    Wantanshi
    January 5, 2014 at 9:57 am
    Reply

    • The trial and error pipo made on Sata/PF has put us in this mess we’re in today.I for one,would not like to experiment/trial and error again on any body.I would rather recommend the MMD,because they have learnt a lesson not to repeat the bad things they did.Other parties is just experimenting.

      Sir Nyambe
      January 5, 2014 at 2:17 pm
      Reply

  9. words of wisdom

    zmart
    January 5, 2014 at 11:16 am
    Reply

  10. He needs to finish his term with difficulties and later live a quiet life.If they try to expel him he should not re-contest the seat because he his life may be in danger. While maintaining a low profile he should talk with HH quietly and start the campaign for UPND in 2015. I foresee HH picking him as a Vice President just the way Mwanawansa did with Rupiah Banda for political convenience. He will go in History as a Principled man. As for MMD he stands less chances of becoming a Vice President The regional balance may not work well with him.

    Wisest
    January 5, 2014 at 12:15 pm
    Reply

    • Yes HH may pick GBM as a Window dressing of tribal balancing.But knowing GBM the way I do,he can not take that UPND route.This route is just on Internet,radio and the so-called Economic Managers.These UPND chaps they don’t learn.King makers are not from the internet,radio talk- shows etc.Katele advised them,go down to the grass roots across the entire country.

      Sir Nyambe
      January 5, 2014 at 2:28 pm
      Reply

  11. As for UPND you can tactically create a Vice President position for him so that they are two with canisius Banda. The other guy (Kapita) can withdraw tactically. That should happen in early 2016. This is case of a business man who should not be seen so early to wage war with the government.If any of RB sons show interest you can also work with him. This is the only way UPND will taste power.My advise is like fielding Ronardo,Messi and Neymar as strikers.

    Wisest
    January 5, 2014 at 12:26 pm
    Reply

  12. MMD is a better option for GBM.UPND is a non starter.Canisius is just a window dressing collateral tribal blind fold, especially to those who are political wise.NO other tribe can lead UPND other than Tonga.Sejani said it already.MMD has no individual or tribe owner.Any one/tribe can be president.

    Sir Nyambe
    January 5, 2014 at 12:46 pm
    Reply

    • What are you talking about you hired gun for MMD? You think we are fools? After all the suffering on the 20 yrs of MMD, how do we go back to the vomit? MMD is not different from PF and we will not make the mistake to bring them back to power. We need them as opposition to UPND. Viva UPND and HH

      Mubanga
      January 6, 2014 at 4:35 am
      Reply

      • Another experiment right?

        id!ot!
        January 6, 2014 at 4:16 pm
        Reply

      • And neither will I experiment/trial and error with HH and his UP and Down Party.

        Sir Nyambe
        January 7, 2014 at 1:23 pm
        Reply

  13. DO-Start doing road runs around Kasama
    DO-Stop boasting about funding PF. It had many funders
    DO-Quit politics because there is no difference between you and Munkombwe. Politics serves yours stomach not the people.
    DONT-Eat too many carbohydrates fat beer and red meat
    DONT- beat up women even if they are your wives

    Malawian Kasai
    January 5, 2014 at 7:29 pm
    Reply

  14. MMD is the way to go. Rupiah shall be the common candidate with GBM assured of a fair treatment and leverage to contest in a free MMD elections after Rupiah’s term of 5 years. In 5 years he shall bring economy back on track, get sata and his thieving minions prosecuted and consigned to Mumbwa Maximum Prison.

    polpot
    January 6, 2014 at 12:01 am
    Reply

  15. with these simple analysis,its time to pursue Banda and put him where he belongs.You forget so easily how the guy in less than three years plundered your economy.What is so noble about RB now?What has changed?Zambians you do not cease to amaze me.Wait and see, you are complaining now and yet in 2016 you will see MC bounce back mark my words.You think if this was Egypt we would see or this.If you don’t try something how are going to know its effectiveness or defects.Without trial then remain with what you have and stop complaining but continuing enduring the results of your choice.

    sensori
    January 6, 2014 at 2:12 pm
    Reply

  16. Zambia needs young fresh minds, not all this foolish alternatives you are all suggesting. HH is not a leader, he has proved it after UPND’s popularity soured after inheriting it from Mazoka. Unfortunately Elias Chipimo hasn’t built a strong team in NAREP. We need leaders of his calibre. Between now and 2020 Zambia will continue to be led by mediocre leadership.

    useless boma
    January 7, 2014 at 1:48 am
    Reply

    • HH took up UPnD Leadership at the height of tribal politics.Saki was hounded out when Sejani said UPND will not never be lead by a non Tonga.Unfortunately HH has been caught up in this tribal blanket.I know HH managed Mazoka’s purse.

      Sir Nyambe
      January 7, 2014 at 1:30 pm
      Reply

      • Every one including me,had great hope in the current regime; but it is all lost; their sweet talk on the economy and bla bla bla is not changing the price of maize meal downwards. For now,Let GBM settle down first.. fisanga abume.

        NZELU NI PAWEKHA
        January 7, 2014 at 2:48 pm
        Reply

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    GMB
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    Reply

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