2016 election results projection

Filed under: Politics,Special Comments |

Central: PF: 184179 UPND: 253246

Western: PF: 57200 UPND: 305068

Eastern: PF: 376971 UPND: 134632

North-Western: PF: 28552 UPND: 256968

Copperbelt: PF: 424621 UPND: 212310

Southern: PF: 64459 UPND: 547906

Luapula: PF: 272502 UPND: 72667

Northern/Muchinga: PF: 423056 UPND: 162714

Lusaka: PF: 373076 UPND: 298461

TOTALS: {‘UPND’: 2243972, ‘PF’: 2204616
Average turn-out: 60%

By Paul Samwele.

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30 Responses to 2016 election results projection

  1. Paul Samwele it’s day dreaming wait and see the battle lines . UPND will lose again watch the space

    Pafwenamwine
    December 16, 2015 at 10:12 pm
    Reply

    • So stupid. You must be drunk. PF can’t win Southern Province.

      Tonga
      December 18, 2015 at 8:11 pm
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    • BA PAUL SAMWELE, UPND WILL NEVER WIN IN ZAMBIA, COME 2016 EDGAR LUNGU WILL STILL BE THE PRESIDENT OF ZAMBIA. REST IN PEACE UPND.

      MAY BE YOU WILL DO BETTER IF YOU FIND ANOTHER CANDIDATE RATHER THAN HH.

      hasting moonga
      December 19, 2015 at 9:05 am
      Reply

  2. Paul, simwele, for sure you are day dreaming, you even forgot about central province, stop this bull shit ifwe, ni forward bane

    Chombamutale
    December 16, 2015 at 11:46 pm
    Reply

    • WHATEVER THE DEFECTS, CENTRAL IS TABULATED FIRST. CHECK POST AGAIN

      Child of the sky
      December 17, 2015 at 5:49 am
      Reply

    • The guy is too angry to see. kekekeke

      Muwowo
      December 17, 2015 at 8:58 am
      Reply

    • Central is the first in his analysis

      Folofolo Man
      December 17, 2015 at 12:46 pm
      Reply

    • central province is at the top of the ladder! use your glasses.

      Fran Kal
      December 17, 2015 at 2:55 pm
      Reply

  3. But Central Province is first on his list – check bwana. However, UPND will unbelievably wallop the pf in many areas. Them pf are busy campaigning now while imposing the archaic public order act on the UPND, but voters, both in rural and urban, are very much awares on what is going on and what to do come August 11. They may cage HH in whatever ways but party functioneries are strong on the grassroots. PF and Lungu will cry like did Rupiah..!!!

    Memphis Shew
    December 17, 2015 at 2:57 am
    Reply

  4. If these will be the results then we go for a rerun and we tell people of Northern,Eastern,Muchinga and Luapula,Lusaka and Copperbelt about the voting patterns in Southern . PF WILL EASILY WIN

    Mambwe
    December 17, 2015 at 6:38 am
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    • The pattern would already have been established even in Northern, Luapula and Muchinga, who will also vote on tribal lines, viz, PF is ours because it is a creation of one of our own.As to what to tell Easter,Lusaka and CB is a rather not clear, given their current misery.

      Folofolo Man
      December 17, 2015 at 2:20 pm
      Reply

  5. One needs wisdom 2 understand,that GOD does not love EDGAR LUNGU.from the time he used dictatorial behavior 2 becoming a pf president 2015 the rain stoped up until now donot espect reliable rain unless he steps down 4 presidence.that is the reality. Yours Mayaba of Namwala.

    mulenga
    December 17, 2015 at 7:10 am
    Reply

    • As much as PF has messed up God loves everyone.

      KC
      December 18, 2015 at 3:58 am
      Reply

  6. ngani ku southern kwena wabepafye with that figure it b shud 4000.fr the o province

    chanda
    December 17, 2015 at 7:50 am
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  7. No matter what ,come rain or sunshine Lungu and PF shall fall.2016 its the final battle .HH will emergy victorious because God has favored him.

    SIDO MARK
    December 17, 2015 at 7:51 am
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  8. I think the writer is in “cloud nine” . The 2016 elections according to my observation; the wind of change is neither here nor there. Generally people are still sympathetic and patient with the PF. The 2016 results will be hardly different from the results of 2015. If UPND wins , it will be by a margin of 1 or two percent. And it will be largely because of voter apathy in PF strongholds, in PF “areas” people are not happy but believe me they will not jump to Bed with upnd just yet. The copperbeltn luapula,eastern and nortern-muchinga will vote PF by over 80 percent. And I think the writers estimate for western province is wrong. According to observation western is not UPND territory , its a swing province depending on PF’s message it will go either way. For now upnd’s can on ly rely on southern and north-western for a strong base. It will be a very DIfficult and lonely journey for HH, he will really nees His God to be on his side.

    The observer
    December 17, 2015 at 7:53 am
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    • Western province is UPND bwana, don’t be cheated. Edgar Lungu got 1000 votes in Mongu central against 19000 for UPND.

      Muwowo
      December 17, 2015 at 9:04 am
      Reply

  9. @The obsever ; You are a very poor obsever muntu wandi !! Iam grad that you have rightly put it that arccoding to your observation . Thats your own observation and not our observation as sensible citizens. Only fools are still pacient and sympathetic with the pf gorvement. Are these pf caders moving grassroots to hear what evil people are taiking about the pf? Even their leaders are also just comforting themselves that pf will win without knowing what is on the ground. Visit grassroots of makululu compound in kabwe and see poverty levels and hear what people are saying about pf.. l personaly voted for M c Sata in 2011 but for now l cant waste my vote on lungu , RB , Kambwili and Dora siliti. If there will be no HH or nawakwi ; l will vote for mulyokela. The pf under lungu is a calamity and a waste of time you people!! Dont be just comforting yourselves for nothing imwe umo akapenapofye mahala.. You think zambians are fools that they can vote for pf a batch of clueless leaders and thugs full of idiocy..

    Copper Bronze
    December 17, 2015 at 11:40 am
    Reply

  10. PF could only achieve such scores ONLY they again try to steal votes, other than that it will be a sorry sight for the Pathetic Fools (PF).

    Besa
    December 17, 2015 at 11:56 am
    Reply

  11. Maka maka uuyu wamene bakamba ati chaama, he will cry like a new born baby

    Hamz
    December 17, 2015 at 12:48 pm
    Reply

    • A new baby indeed..kikiki

      malonda24/7
      December 17, 2015 at 8:04 pm
      Reply

  12. An average zambian does not think long term and is usually grateful with what ever help you give them for their immediate satisfaction. All PF will need is to explain how the economic mess came about and what they will do going forward. By the way PF have not been idle but have perfected the Art of Rigging. I don’t see Upnd getting anthing beyond 10 percent in northern-muchinga,luapual ,copperbelt . For eastern the best Upnd will get is 15 percent. I live with the “real” zambians on the ground. The poor masses, zambians have a perculiar way of thinking. They hold on to the fire wood that’s is burning them till the last minute. They are too humble and docile. The spirit of change is no where near as strong as the one which ushered in micheal sata. Upnd will need a miracle to gunner 50 1 percent the first round. Should the go for round 2, PF will bring out all its RIGGING fire power. Its a hard game for UPND.

    The observer
    December 17, 2015 at 1:14 pm
    Reply

  13. I think UPND will carry the day based on my interactions [which in itself is likely to be biased].

    Nevertheless, I have no statistical/scientific evidence and since the writer has not provided his underlying methodology and assumptions, it is difficult for me to comment on her publication, objectively. I wonder how others are able to understand the presentation in the absence of the methodology applied. The numbers seem to be dropping from heaven and how such can generate a fair debate just beats my mind. For people to even go further to insult each other based on such presentations… I am shocked!

    Kanande
    December 17, 2015 at 1:16 pm
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  14. PF is not winning in copperbelt they will lose. There will be No rerun UPND will win by 59%

    joseph Mwape
    December 17, 2015 at 2:39 pm
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  15. It is over for PF…!! I know a lot of pf members will not believe my assessment because they are drunk with don’t kubeba slogan,, Lungu is no more. he is dead in August/September…2016

    Morgan
    December 17, 2015 at 3:12 pm
    Reply

  16. Muvi style of campaigning has started with high thoughts

    mj banda
    December 18, 2015 at 5:57 am
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  17. EChagwa Lungu azagwa becoz the machets they imported to butcher their own members at mulungushi are haunting them. So God is watching.

    Kata
    December 19, 2015 at 4:53 pm
    Reply

  18. UPND has always won online and on Muvi TV. Wait for the real game. We are all voting like Tongas. you will find in luapula UPND 12 PF 13000.

    monde
    December 20, 2015 at 6:16 am
    Reply

  19. The truth is this…Edgar Lungu will win the 2016 general elections then die in office in 2017, six months into office.

    Jerabo
    December 21, 2015 at 10:22 am
    Reply

  20. Time for HH & GBM has gone, no matter what they will do they will never rule Zambia. HH this time could have been the president of Zambia if he had accepted to work with great MC Sata MHSRIP, every Zambia could have supported him but, due to pride he missed it. Lack of spiritual eyes costed him, he was in a hurry and couldn’t wait for 5 year term. God said this man MC won’t stay for a term but for 3 years only, but the man HH due to his carnality he could not see through. GBM was going to get the presidency after the demise of MC Sata, because according to God’s plan, anyone on the position of Defence Minister was going to be picked, but this child of Mwamba Lukashi who is always short tempered left that position like kakachema katumpa who used to fool people always, this time MC said enough is enough, immediately he resigned EL was appointed at the right time & place. There he is, you will never get it from him. Keep on dreaming and winning on elections on online media.

    big tribe
    December 21, 2015 at 11:30 am
    Reply

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